Exploring Arbitrage and Positive EV Betting
Last updated
Last updated
Arbitrage and positive EV betting are clever strategies that leverage differences in odds offered by sportsbooks to secure profitable outcomes. While arbitrage betting ensures a guaranteed profit regardless of the event's result, positive EV betting focuses on identifying wagers with a long-term statistical edge. Both strategies take advantage of the unique algorithms sportsbooks use to calculate odds. Whether you want a guaranteed profit (arbitrage), a long-term edge (positive EV), extra potential (middles), or minimal house margin (low holds), AVO makes it easy.
Sportsbooks are platforms where bettors can place wagers on sporting events. Each sportsbook uses proprietary algorithms to set odds, resulting in variations between them. These differences create opportunities for bettors to secure profits.
Arbitrage Betting: This involves placing opposite bets on the same event across different sportsbooks. By carefully calculating the wagers, bettors can guarantee a return regardless of the outcome.
Positive EV Betting: Unlike arbitrage, this strategy capitalizes on odds that suggest a higher probability of winning than implied. These bets offer long-term profitability, as the odds are in the bettor's favor over time.
Both strategies demand precision, speed, and a strategic approach to maximize profits.
What They Are: A middle bet is when you take both the over and the under (or one team plus the points, and the other team minus the points) on different lines. If the final result lands exactly in the “middle,” you can win both bets.
Why Try It?: You still have some “break-even” protection (since one of your bets could win if the other loses), but if the result hits just right, you double up.
What It Means: The “hold” (or “vig”) is how sportsbooks profit. A low hold means the sportsbook’s margin is very small—often close to zero.
Why It Helps: You can bet on both sides with almost no house edge. It’s great for meeting rollover requirements (to earn bonuses or VIP perks) or just to place safer, near-even bets.
What It Does: Turns free or bonus bets into near-guaranteed cash. By “hedging” (placing an opposite bet) on another line, you secure a chunk of the free bet’s value rather than risking it all on one outcome.
Why It’s Great: Most free bets only pay out winnings, not the stake. This tool helps you capture as much cash value as possible from those bonus bets.
Arbitrage: Find games where the odds differ enough to lock in guaranteed profit.
Positive EV: Spot lines where your odds are better than the sportsbook’s implied chance.
Middles: Look for lines that have at least a small chance to win both sides.
Low Holds: Target markets where the sportsbook’s cut is minimal or zero.
Arbitrage: Use a calculator (like AVO’s) to split bets accurately and lock in profit.
Positive EV: Keep betting on favorable lines, understanding it’s about the long-term edge.
Middles: Place your bets so that you don’t lose much if you don’t “hit the middle,” but can profit big if you do.
Low Holds: Wager on both sides knowing there’s minimal risk from the sportsbook’s margin.
Promo Converter: Use your free bet plus a hedge to secure some guaranteed cash.
Odds can change in moments. Arbitrage, EV, middles, and low-hold chances all disappear quickly if lines move. AVO’s real-time updates let you act before the odds shift.
Arbitrage: Each bet might yield a small return, but those add up.
Positive EV: A few losses won’t matter if most bets favor you in the long run.
Middles: You might only “hit the middle” occasionally, but the reward can be huge.
Low Holds: Keep churning volume with minimal house edge to unlock bonuses or VIP perks.
Promo Converter: Every free bet you convert adds extra cash to your bankroll.
With AVO, you can combine Arbitrage, Positive EV, Middles, Low Holds, and the Promo Converter in one streamlined dashboard. Whether you’re looking for guaranteed profit, chasing long-term value, or maximizing free bets, AVO helps you make informed decisions—all at lightning speed. By leveraging these strategies together, you’ll uncover more ways to stay profitable, unlock bonuses, and enjoy the best of what sports betting has to offer.
